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Author Archives: Philip Orton
Touring Sandy’s Impact on Lower Manhattan
After an interview at Battery Park on Tuesday the day after for ABC News 20/20 Special “The Perfect Storm”, I went on a walk to see the aftermath of Sandy’s visit to lower Manhattan. My tour took me from Battery … Continue reading
Posted in photography, water, weather
Tagged elevation, Financial District, flood, height, high water mark, hurricane, landfill, photoblog, picture, plywood, Sandy, South Street Seaport, stairwell, storm, street, subway, superstorm, surge, vent, water
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Sandy We’re in Misery: Storm Recap
Now that Sandy has moved on, and some of us are lucky enough to have power and be getting back to “normal life”, I’m finally writing to recap what happened with the coastal flooding and how the forecasts compared to … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged Battery, elevation, evaluation, flood, forecast, Frankenstorm, hurricane, Kings Point, New York City, NYHOPS, P-Surge, Sandy, sea level, SSWS, Stony Brook, storm surge, storm tide, superstorm, tropical
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Updated Forecasts from SSWS and ET-Surge
Our Stevens Storm Surge Warning System have been predicting flood elevations about a foot below the observations, so take this as a low-end estimate, but here are those predictions. Also plotted are NOAA’s ET-SURGE predictions, which have a similar estimated peak water … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, Long Island Sound, predicted, Sandy, storm surge, storm tide, tide, water elevation
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What Height to Expect from this Evening’s Deluge
We are looking at a coastal flood around New York City region tonight that is nearly certain to be record-breaking. The morning flood at The Battery and other nearby locations was close to the flood elevation of Irene, and only … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged datum, evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, MSL, new jersey, New York City, Newark, predicted, Sandy, sea level, seawall, storm surge, storm tide, tide, water elevation, wind
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Dangerous, Likely Recordbreaking Surge Coming to NYC
Sandy’s storm surge for New York Harbor is almost definitely going to be worse than Irene’s, and it is likely to cause several feet higher flooding. There is a good chance (about 50%) that flood elevations at Manhattan and nearby … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, new jersey, New York City, predicted, Sandy, seawall, storm surge, storm tide, tide, total water elevation, wind
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Sandy’s Storm Surge Forecast Interpretation: Steady and Not Good
The forecasts are gradually steadying for the storm surge flood elevations for Sandy, but strong uncertainty exists because the timing of the flood relative to high tide can make all the difference … The “central forecast” for the storm is … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, new jersey, New York City, predicted, Sandy, storm surge, storm tide, tide, total water elevation, wind
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