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Tag Archives: tide
Lessons on Containment for the Climate Pandemic
Climate change and COVID19 are similarly explosive problems, with similar dangers from missing the opportunity for containment. One silver lining is that the pandemic has led us to change our lives in some ways that could be made permanent, to simultaneously rein in climate change. Continue reading
Posted in climate, opinion, water
Tagged chronic, climate, containment, coronavirus, covid, emissions, exponential, flood, mitigation, New York City, nuisance, pandemic, sea level rise, sunny, tidal, tide
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A “new normal” or drowning by a million drops?
I was interviewed the other day on WNYC regarding flood events of the past few months — there is a concern that the three events that flooded some low-lying neighborhoods with roughly a foot of water signify a “new normal”, but … Continue reading
Posted in climate, water, weather
Tagged 19-year, compaction, flood, Jamaica Bay, New York City, sea level rise, spring tide, storm surge, tide, WNYC
2 Comments
Nor’easter Jonas Evening Forecast Addendum
Additional details on the New York / New Jersey Metro Area Getting it right with “minor” versus “moderate” flooding is particularly important when there is ice and freezing temperatures, as NOAA’s definitions (see below) suggest some evacuation may be needed … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged Arthur Kill, flooding, Jamaica Bay, Jonas, Minor, Moderate, new jersey, New York City, newark bay, nor'easter, Raritan Bay, storm surge, tide
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Coastal Flood and Wave Forecast for the Blizzard
In a prior post, I laid out the dangers of combined ice, snow and storm surge flooding. It is a potentially catastrophic risk, as exemplified by the Blizzard of ’78 in New England. But fortunately, it’s very rare and perhaps … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged blizzard, Boston, flooding, forecast, Gulf of Maine, ice, Jersey Shore, Long Island Sound, New York City, New York Harbor, storm, surge, tide, wave, wind
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Increasing storm tides in New York Harbor, 1844–2013
We published a paper in the journal Geophysical Research Letters in May (paper, supporting information), and a very important yet simple result from the paper is that Stefan Talke (Portland State University) recovered historical sea level data from NY Harbor and created this great 1844-2013 … Continue reading
Updated Forecasts from SSWS and ET-Surge
Our Stevens Storm Surge Warning System have been predicting flood elevations about a foot below the observations, so take this as a low-end estimate, but here are those predictions. Also plotted are NOAA’s ET-SURGE predictions, which have a similar estimated peak water … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, Long Island Sound, predicted, Sandy, storm surge, storm tide, tide, water elevation
1 Comment
What Height to Expect from this Evening’s Deluge
We are looking at a coastal flood around New York City region tonight that is nearly certain to be record-breaking. The morning flood at The Battery and other nearby locations was close to the flood elevation of Irene, and only … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged datum, evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, MSL, new jersey, New York City, Newark, predicted, Sandy, sea level, seawall, storm surge, storm tide, tide, water elevation, wind
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Dangerous, Likely Recordbreaking Surge Coming to NYC
Sandy’s storm surge for New York Harbor is almost definitely going to be worse than Irene’s, and it is likely to cause several feet higher flooding. There is a good chance (about 50%) that flood elevations at Manhattan and nearby … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged evacuation, forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, new jersey, New York City, predicted, Sandy, seawall, storm surge, storm tide, tide, total water elevation, wind
2 Comments
Sandy’s Storm Surge Forecast Interpretation: Steady and Not Good
The forecasts are gradually steadying for the storm surge flood elevations for Sandy, but strong uncertainty exists because the timing of the flood relative to high tide can make all the difference … The “central forecast” for the storm is … Continue reading
Posted in water, weather
Tagged forecast, Frankenstorm, gale, harbor, hurricane, long island, Long Island Sound, new jersey, New York City, predicted, Sandy, storm surge, storm tide, tide, total water elevation, wind
1 Comment
SeaAndSkyNY 